{"id":55606,"date":"2025-08-20T08:39:18","date_gmt":"2025-08-20T13:39:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wlbott.com\/?p=55606"},"modified":"2026-01-20T04:24:24","modified_gmt":"2026-01-20T10:24:24","slug":"the-new-crescent-hope-vs-fear","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wlbott.com\/?p=55606","title":{"rendered":"The New Crescent: Hope vs. Fear"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

New Crescent series<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u201cFor the price of one year of missiles, we could irrigate a thousand years of fields.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cUntwine the budgets of war, and spool them into wells of life.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\nElder G<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Yesterday we looked at the scale of resources needed to support the agricultural community of The New Crescent<\/strong>. The irrigation needs of The New Crescent<\/strong> are approximately those of the Ras Al-Khair<\/strong> desalination plant (the largest in the world).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let’s talk costs. Ras Al-Khair<\/strong> combined desalination plant \/ power station cost $7.1 billion<\/strong>. How much for just the desalination plant alone?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Elder G<\/strong> looks at other projects and gives us a rough ratio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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This gives a rough desalination-to-power capex ratio of ~\u20090.6<\/strong> (desalination \u2248\u202f60% of power cost) or in other terms, about 37%<\/strong> of total cost went to desalination.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Applying to Ras Al-Khair (Approximate)<\/h5>\n\n\n\n

Using the Jebel Ali ratio:<\/p>\n\n\n\n